Few geological scenarios capture public imagination quite like a full-scale eruption of the Yellowstone supervolcano. The ...

Get the latest Kalshi odds update for Sunday, Feb. 15, 2026. Check live prices for the Winter Olympics, NBA All-Star Tournament, and AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

New analysis explains why Prosper’s macro forecasts often signal economic shifts weeks or months before prediction ...

Bayes' theorem is a statistical formula used to calculate conditional probability. Learn how it works, how to calculate it ...

Tornado Alley has been expanding eastward as climate data shows the increased activity in tornadoes, damaging winds, and hail events.

There are new kids in town, and their names are Kalshi and Polymarket. Are prediction markets sports betting, or are they something entirely different?

Kalshi prediction market’s anytime touchdown trades with the best and worst win probability for Seahawks vs. Patriots in Super Bowl LX.

Analysis and comparison of Super Bowl MVP win probabilities on prediction market apps for Sam Darnold, Drake Maye, and others. Plus picks and predictions.

A closer look at how Super Bowl 60 betting markets are shaping up. From point spreads to touchdown scorer projections, ...

The Storm Prediction Center collaborated with the Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and ...

Gold and Long Duration Bonds are often compared for their diversification benefit. In this note I explore whether the ...

Prediction markets let you trade on the probability of real-world events, using prices as forecasts rather than opinions or fixed odds. Prediction markets are financial markets where people trade ...