Kieran O'Leary, from the firm, pointed to the low turnout of 59.7% for skewing the data and affecting its model. He said there were anecdotal reports of a higher decline in turnout among young voters than among older voters. He added it was also possible the decline was more severe in urban areas than in rural areas.

More than half of the Irish parliament's seats are filled, with the Fianna Fáil party leading a tight three-way battle in the country's. With all 43 constituenci

In the coming weeks, when Fianna Fáil’s head office on Mount Street starts to assess the election result, it should focus on the west of Ireland. And if they do, Galway West will stand out. The party’s vote share in the constituency is down 6 percentage points compared to 2020.