It's been 13 years since the Miami Dolphins last played on Thanksgiving, but they'll cap the holiday Thursday night with a primetime matchup against the Green Bay Packe

Tagovailoa is 1-3 straight-up and 0-4 against the spread when temperatures dip below 40 degrees, according to BetMGM. The Dolphins understandably have taken some money here given their strong play in recent weeks, having torched the Patriots, 34-15, last time out.

Miami has been playing better recently, but the Dolphins tend to struggle in cold-weather games. And the forecast in Green Bay is calling for possible snow. The key for the Packers will be limiting turnovers. I do think it’s close, but, ultimately, I’ll take the Packers and the points.